CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-12-06T08:12:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-12-06T08:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/28036/-1
CME Note: Very faint CME seen to the N, slightly NW, in SOHO LASCO C2, C3, and extremely faintly in STEREO A COR2. The source is the eruption of a small S-shaped filament seen on the Earth-facing disk, spanning N10E00 to N22E10, with noticeable NW deflection during liftoff seen in UV imagery. Liftoff at about 2023-12-06T05:04Z is seen in SDO AIA 304. Post-eruptive arcades seen in SDO AIA 171, 193, and post-eruptive brightening in SDO AIA 304, 171, 193. | Non-arrival note: There is no evidence of arrival in real time solar wind timelines at L1.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-12-09T15:15Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 80.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 3.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 27.80 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2023-12-08T11:27Z
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